Melinda Webster Research Scientist/Engineer - Principal melindaw@uw.edu Phone 206-685-4551 |
Education
B.S. Oceanography, University of Washington, 2010
M.S. Oceanography, University of Washington, 2013
Ph.D. Oceanography, University of Washington, 2016
Videos
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Snow Accumulations on Arctic Sea Ice Snow plays a key role in the growth and decay of Arctic sea ice each year. APL-UW research assesses spring snow depth distribution on Arctic sea ice using airborne radar observations from Operation IceBridge compared with in situ measurements taken in spring 2012 and historical data from the Soviet drifting ice stations of the mid-20th century. Snow depths have declined in the western Arctic and Beaufort and Chukchi seas. Thinning is correlated with the delayed onset of sea ice freeze-up during autumn. |
11 Sep 2014
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Publications |
2000-present and while at APL-UW |
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Theoretical estimates of light transmittance at the MOSAiC central observatory Perovich, D., and 17 others including B. Light and M. Webster, "Theoretical estimates of light transmittance at the MOSAiC central observatory, " Elem. Sci. Anth., 13, doi:10.1525/elementa.2024.00076, 2025. |
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22 Jul 2025 ![]() |
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Light transmission through a sea ice cover has strong implications for the heat content of the upper ocean, the magnitude of bottom and lateral ice melt, and primary productivity in the ocean. Light transmittance in the vicinity of the Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) Central Observatory was estimated by driving a two-stream radiative transfer model with physical property observations. Data include point and transect observations of snow depth, surface scattering layer thickness, ice thickness, and pond depth. The temporal evolution of light transmittance at specific sites and the spatial variability along transect lines were computed. Ponds transmitted 46 times as much solar energy per unit area as bare ice. On July 25, ponds covered about 18% of the area and contributed roughly 50% of the sunlight transmitted through the ice cover. Approximating the transmittance along a transect line using average values for the physical properties will always result in lower light transmittance than finding the average light transmittance using the full distribution of points. Transmitted solar energy calculated using the standard five ice thickness categories and three surface types used in the Los Alamos sea ice model CICE, the sea ice component of many weather and climate models, was only about 1 W m-2 less than using all the points along the transect. This minor difference suggests that the important processes and resulting feedbacks relating to solar transmittance can be represented in models that use five or more categories of ice thickness distributions. |
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Predicting melt pond coverage on Arctic sea ice from pre-melt surface topography Fuchs, N., G. Birnbaum, N. Neckel, T. Kagel, M. Webster, and A. Wernecke, "Predicting melt pond coverage on Arctic sea ice from pre-melt surface topography," Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, doi:10.1029/2025GL115033, 2025. |
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16 May 2025 ![]() |
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Sea-ice melt ponds form in the depressions of pre-melt surface topography, a process widely accepted yet lacking larger-scale evaluation through explicit comparisons. During MOSAiC, we collected multi-dimensional aerial data to examine the relationship between pre-melt surface topography and melt pond evolution across an entire Arctic ice floe. Using hydrological models, we analyze the correlation between potential meltwater accumulation areas identified in winter and spring topographies, available meltwater, and observed pond coverage. Our findings demonstrate a strong connection, revealing a 72% accuracy in matching low areas to melt ponds, with 98% of basins deeper than 0.5 m transforming into ponds. Incorporating assumptions regarding meltwater availability improve predictions of melt pond fraction and highlight key factors driving extensive lateral runoff networks on the floe. No significant differences are observed between first- and second-year ice. This study provides valuable ground truth for future modeling and measurements of pond formation. |
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Investigating snow sinks on level sea ice: A case study in the western Arctic Merkouriadi, I., A. Jutila, G.E. Liston, A. Preusser, and M.A. Webster, "Investigating snow sinks on level sea ice: A case study in the western Arctic," J. Glaciol., 71, doi:10.1017/jog.2025.34, 2025. |
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14 May 2025 ![]() |
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SnowModel-LG reconstructs snow depth and density over sea ice, explicitly resolving important snow sinks like blowing snow sublimation, static surface sublimation and melt, but not snow-ice formation. To examine snow sinks on level sea ice, we coupled SnowModel-LG with HIGHTSI, a 1-D thermodynamic sea-ice model, to create SMLG_HS. SMLG_HS simulations of snow depth and level ice thickness were evaluated against high-resolution airborne observations from the western Arctic, highlighting the importance of snow mass redistribution processes, i.e. snow’s tendency to leave level ice and accumulate over deformed ice due to wind-induced redistribution. Not accounting for snow mass redistribution, SMLG_HS overestimates snow depth on level ice, resulting in underestimation of level ice thickness and overestimation of snow-ice thickness. Our case study shows that snow depth on level ice needs to be reduced by 40% to simulate both snow depth and level ice thickness realistically in the western Arctic in April 2017. An independent analysis of snow volume distribution between level and deformed sea ice using airborne radar observations supported the model results and revealed a linear relationship that enables estimating the amount of snow remaining on level ice at the end of winter based on the amount of ice deformation. |
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Formation and fate of freshwater on an ice floe in the Central Arctic Smith, M.M., and 8 others including M. Webster, "Formation and fate of freshwater on an ice floe in the Central Arctic," Cryosphere, 19, 619-644, doi:10.5194/tc-19-619-2025, 2025. |
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7 Feb 2025 ![]() |
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The melt of snow and sea ice during the Arctic summer is a significant source of relatively fresh meltwater. The fate of this freshwater, whether in surface melt ponds or thin layers underneath the ice and in leads, impacts atmosphere–ice–ocean interactions and their subsequent coupled evolution. Here, we combine analyses of datasets from the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition (JuneJuly 2020) for a process study on the formation and fate of sea ice freshwater on ice floes in the Central Arctic. Our freshwater budget analyses suggest that a relatively high fraction (58%) is derived from surface melt. Additionally, the contribution from stored precipitation (snowmelt) outweighs by 5 times the input from in situ summer precipitation (rain). The magnitude and rate of local meltwater production are remarkably similar to those observed on the prior Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) campaign, where the cumulative summer freshwater production totaled around 1 m during both. A relatively small fraction (10%) of freshwater from melt remains in ponds, which is higher on more deformed second-year ice (SYI) compared to first-year ice (FYI) later in the summer. Most meltwater drains laterally and vertically, with vertical drainage enabling storage of freshwater internally in the ice by freshening brine channels. In the upper ocean, freshwater can accumulate in transient meltwater layers on the order of 0.1 to 1 m thick in leads and under the ice. The presence of such layers substantially impacts the coupled system by reducing bottom melt and allowing false bottom growth; reducing heat, nutrient, and gas exchange; and influencing ecosystem productivity. Regardless, the majority fraction of freshwater from melt is inferred to be ultimately incorporated into the upper ocean (75%) or stored internally in the ice (14%). Terms such as the annual sea ice freshwater production and meltwater storage in ponds could be used in future work as diagnostics for global climate and process models. For example, the range of values from the CESM2 climate model roughly encapsulate the observed total freshwater production, while storage in melt ponds is underestimated by about 50%, suggesting pond drainage terms as a key process for investigation. |
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Summer snow on Arctic sea ice modulated by the Arctic Oscillation Webster, M.A., A. Riihelä, S. Kacimi, T.J. Ballinger, E. Blanchard-Wigglesworth, C.L. Parker, and L. Boisvert, "Summer snow on Arctic sea ice modulated by the Arctic Oscillation," Nat. Geosci., 17, 995-1002, doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01525-y, 2024. |
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1 Oct 2024 ![]() |
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Since the 1970s, Arctic sea ice has undergone unprecedented change, becoming thinner, less extensive and less resilient to summer melt. Snow's high albedo greatly reduces solar absorption in sea ice and the upper ocean, which mitigates sea–ice melt and ocean warming. However, the drivers of summertime snow depth variability are unknown. The Arctic Oscillation is a mode of natural climate variability, influencing Arctic snowfall and air temperatures. Thus, it may affect summertime snow conditions on Arctic sea ice. Here we examine the role of the Arctic Oscillation in summer snow depth variability on Arctic sea ice in 19802020 using atmospheric reanalysis, snow modelling and satellite data. The positive phase leads to greater snow accumulation, ranging up to ~4.5 cm near the North Pole, and higher surface albedo in summer. There are more intense, frequent Arctic cyclones, cooler temperatures aloft and greater snowfall relative to negative and neutral phases; these conditions facilitate a more persistent summer snow cover, which may lessen sea-ice melt and ocean warming. The Arctic Oscillation influence on summertime snow weakens after 2007, which suggests that future warming and Arctic sea-ice loss might modify the relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and snow on Arctic sea ice. |
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Model biases in simulating extreme sea ice loss associated with the record January 2022 Arctic cyclone Blanchard-Wigglesworth, E., S. Brenner, M. Webster, C. Horvat, Ø. Foss, and C.M. Bitz, "Model biases in simulating extreme sea ice loss associated with the record January 2022 Arctic cyclone," J. Geophys. Res., 129, doi:10.1029/2024JC021127, 2024. |
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24 Aug 2024 ![]() |
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In January 2022, the strongest Arctic cyclone on record resulted in a record weekly loss in sea ice cover in the Barents-Kara-Laptev seas. While ECMWF operational forecasts skillfully predicted the cyclone, the loss in sea ice was poorly predicted. We explore the ocean's response to the cyclone using observations from an Argo float that was profiling in the region, and investigate model biases in simulating the observed sea ice loss in a fully coupled GCM. The observations showed changes over the whole ocean column in the Barents Sea after the passage of the storm, cooling and mixing with enough implied heat release to melt roughly 1 m of sea ice. We replicate the observed cyclone in the GCM by nudging the model's winds to observations above the boundary layer. In these simulations, the associated loss of sea ice is only about 10%15% of the observed loss, and the ocean exhibits very small changes in response to the cyclone. With the use of a simple 1-D ice-ocean model, we find that the overly strong ocean stratification in the GCM may be a significant source of model bias in its simulated response to the cyclone. However, even initialized with observed stratification profiles, the 1-D model also underestimated mixing and sea ice melt relative to the observations. |
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The effects of summer snowfall on Arctic sea ice radiative forcing Chapman-Dutton, H.R., and M.A. Webster, "The effects of summer snowfall on Arctic sea ice radiative forcing," J. Geophys. Res., 129, doi:10.1029/2023JD040667, 2024. |
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28 Jul 2024 ![]() |
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Snow is the most reflective natural surface on Earth. Since fresh snow on bare sea ice increases the surface albedo, the impact of summer snow accumulation can have a negative radiative forcing effect, which would inhibit sea ice surface melt and potentially slow sea-ice loss. However, it is not well known how often, where, and when summer snowfall events occur on Arctic sea ice. In this study, we used in situ and model snow depth data paired with surface albedo and atmospheric conditions from satellite retrievals to characterize summer snow accumulation on Arctic sea ice from 2003 to 2017. We found that, across the Arctic, ~2 snow accumulation events occurred on initially snow-free conditions each year. The average snow depth and albedo increases were ~2 cm and 0.08, respectively. 16.5% of the snow accumulation events were optically thick (>3 cm deep) and lasted 2.9 days longer than the average snow accumulation event (3.4 days). Based on a simple, multiple scattering radiative transfer model, we estimated a 0.086 ± 0.020 W m-2 change in the annual average top-of-the-atmosphere radiative forcing for summer snowfall events in 20032017. The following work provides new information on the frequency, distribution, and duration of observed snow accumulation events over Arctic sea ice in summer. Such results may be particularly useful in understanding the impacts of ephemeral summer weather on surface albedo and their propagating effects on the radiative forcing over Arctic sea ice, as well as assessing climate model simulations of summer atmosphereice processes. |
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Sea ice mass balance during the MOSAiC drift experiment: Results from manual ice and snow thickness gauges Raphael, I.A., and 10 others including M. Webster, "Sea ice mass balance during the MOSAiC drift experiment: Results from manual ice and snow thickness gauges," Elem. Sci. Anth., 12, doi:10.1525/elementa.2023.00040, 2024. |
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9 Jul 2024 ![]() |
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Precise measurements of Arctic sea ice mass balance are necessary to understand the rapidly changing sea ice cover and its representation in climate models. During the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition, we made repeat point measurements of snow and ice thickness on primarily level first- and second-year ice (FYI, SYI) using ablation stakes and ice thickness gauges. This technique enabled us to distinguish surface and bottom (basal) melt and characterize the importance of oceanic versus atmospheric forcing. We also evaluated the time series of ice growth and melt in the context of other MOSAiC observations and historical mass balance observations from the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic (SHEBA) campaign and the North Pole Environmental Observatory (NPEO). Despite similar freezing degree days, average ice growth at MOSAiC was greater on FYI (1.67 m) and SYI (1.23 m) than at SHEBA (1.45 m, 0.53 m), due in part to initially thinner ice and snow conditions on MOSAiC. Our estimates of effective snow thermal conductivity, which agree with SHEBA results and other MOSAiC observations, are unlikely to explain the difference. On MOSAiC, FYI grew more and faster than SYI, demonstrating a feedback loop that acts to increase ice production after multi-year ice loss. Surface melt on MOSAiC (mean of 0.50 m) was greater than at NPEO (0.18 m), with considerable spatial variability that correlated with surface albedo variability. Basal melt was relatively small (mean of 0.12 m), and higher than NPEO observations (0.07 m). Finally, we present observations showing that false bottoms reduced basal melt rates in some FYI cases, in agreement with other observations at MOSAiC. These detailed mass balance observations will allow further investigation into connections between the carefully observed surface energy budget, ocean heat fluxes, sea ice, and ecosystem at MOSAiC and during other campaigns. |
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Alaska terrestrial and marine climate trends, 19572021 Ballinger, T.J., and 9 others including M.A. Webster, "Alaska terrestrial and marine climate trends, 19572021," J. Clim., 36, 4375-4391, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0434.s1, 2024. |
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1 Jul 2024 ![]() |
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Some of the largest climatic changes in the Arctic have been observed in Alaska and the surrounding marginal seas. Near-surface air temperature (T2m), precipitation (P), snowfall, and sea ice changes have been previously documented, often in disparate studies. Here, we provide an updated, long-term trend analysis (19572021; n = 65 years) of such parameters in ERA5, NOAA U.S. Climate Gridded Dataset (NClimGrid), NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Alaska climate division, and composite sea ice products preceding the upcoming Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) and other near-future climate reports. In the past half century, annual T2m has broadly increased across Alaska, and during winter, spring, and autumn on the North Slope and North Panhandle (T2m > 0.50°C decade-1). Precipitation has also increased across climate divisions and appears strongly interrelated with temperature–sea ice feedbacks on the North Slope, specifically with increased (decreased) open water (sea ice extent). Snowfall equivalent (SFE) has decreased in autumn and spring, perhaps aligned with a regime transition of snow to rain, while winter SFE has broadly increased across the state. Sea ice decline and melt-season lengthening also have a pronounced signal around Alaska, with the largest trends in these parameters found in the Beaufort Sea. Alaska’s climatic changes are also placed in context against regional and contiguous U.S. air temperature trends and show ∼50% greater warming in Alaska relative to the lower-48 states. Alaska T2m increases also exceed those of any contiguous U.S. subregion, positioning Alaska at the forefront of U.S. climate warming. |
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Evolution of the microstructure and reflectance of the surface scattering layer on melting, level Arctic sea ice Macfarlane, A.R., R. Dadic, M.M. Smith, B. Light, M. Nicolaus, H. Henna-Reetta, M. Webster, F. Linhardt, S. Hammerle, and M. Schneebeli, "Evolution of the microstructure and reflectance of the surface scattering layer on melting, level Arctic sea ice," Elem. Sci. Anth., 11, doi:10.1525/elementa.2022.00103, 2024. |
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6 Apr 2024 ![]() |
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The microstructure of the uppermost portions of a melting Arctic sea ice cover has a disproportionately large influence on how incident sunlight is reflected and absorbed in the ice/ocean system. The surface scattering layer (SSL) effectively backscatters solar radiation and keeps the surface albedo of melting ice relatively high compared to ice with the SSL manually removed. Measurements of albedo provide information on how incoming shortwave radiation is partitioned by the SSL and have been pivotal to improving climate model parameterizations. However, the relationship between the physical and optical properties of the SSL is still poorly constrained. Until now, radiative transfer models have been the only way to infer the microstructure of the SSL. During the MOSAiC expedition of 20192020, we took samples and, for the first time, directly measured the microstructure of the SSL on bare sea ice using X-ray micro-computed tomography. We show that the SSL has a highly anisotropic, coarse, and porous structure, with a small optical diameter and density at the surface, increasing with depth. As the melting surface ablates, the SSL regenerates, maintaining some aspects of its microstructure throughout the melt season. We used the microstructure measurements with a radiative transfer model to improve our understanding of the relationship between physical properties and optical properties at 850 nm wavelength. When the microstructure is used as model input, we see a 1015% overestimation of the reflectance at 850 nm. This comparison suggests that either a) spatial variability at the meter scale is important for the two in situ optical measurements and therefore a larger sample size is needed to represent the microstructure or b) future work should investigate either i) using a ray-tracing approach instead of explicitly solving the radiative transfer equation or ii) using a more appropriate radiative transfer model. |
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Inter-comparison of melt pond products from optical satellite imagery Lee, S., J. Stroeve, M. Webster, N. Fuchs, and D.K. Perovich, "Inter-comparison of melt pond products from optical satellite imagery," Remote Sens. Environ., 301, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2023.113920, 2024. |
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1 Feb 2024 ![]() |
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Given the importance that melt ponds have on the energy balance of summer sea ice, there have been several efforts to develop pan-Arctic datasets using satellite data. Here we intercompare three melt pond data sets that rely on multi-frequency optical satellite data. Early in the melt season, the three data sets have similar spatial patterns in melt pond fraction, but this agreement weakens as the melt season progresses despite relatively high interannual correlations in pond fractions between the data products. Most of the data sets do not exhibit trends towards increased melt pond fractions from 2002 to 2011 despite overall Arctic warming and earlier melt onset. Further comparisons are made against higher resolution optical data to assess relative accuracy. These comparisons reveal the challenges in retrieving melt ponds from coarse resolution satellite data, and the need to better discriminate between leads, small open water areas and melt ponds. Finally, we assess melt pond data sets as a function of ice type and how well they correlate with surface albedo. As expected, melt pond fractions are negatively correlated with surface albedo, though the strength of the correlation varies across products and regions. Overall, first-year ice has larger melt pond fractions than multi-year ice. |
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The importance of sub-meter-scale snow roughness on conductive heat flux of Arctic sea ice Clemens-Sewall, D., C. Polashenski, D. Perovich, and M.A. Webster, "The importance of sub-meter-scale snow roughness on conductive heat flux of Arctic sea ice," J. Glaciol., EOR, doi:10.1017/jog.2023.105, 2024. |
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4 Jan 2024 ![]() |
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The conductive heat flux through the snow and ice is a critical component of the mass and energy budgets in the Arctic sea ice system. We use high horizontal resolution (315 cm) measurements of snow topography to explore the impacts of sub-meter-scale snow surface roughness on heat flux as simulated by the Finite Element method. Simulating horizontal heat flux in a variable snow cover modestly increases the total simulated heat flux. With horizontal heat flux, as opposed to simple 1D-vertical heat flux modeling, the simulated heat flux is 10% greater than that for uniform snow with the same mean snow thickness for a 31.5 x 21 m region of sea ice (the largest region we studied). Vertical-only (1D) heat flux simulates just a 6% increase for the same region. However, this is highly dependent on observation resolution. Had we measured the snow cover at 1 m horizontal spacing or greater, simulating horizontal heat flux would not have changed the net heat flux from that simulated with vertical-only heat flux. These findings suggest that measuring and modeling snow roughness at sub-meter horizontal scales may be necessary to accurately represent horizontal heat flux on level Arctic sea ice. |
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Rainy days in the Arctic Boisvert, L.N., M.A. Webster, C.L. Parker, and R.M. Forbes, "Rainy days in the Arctic," J. Clim., 36, 6855-6878, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0428.1, 2023. |
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1 Oct 2023 ![]() |
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The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere on Earth, and with these warming temperatures, there is likely to be more precipitation falling as rain. This precipitation phase change will have profound impacts on the hydrologic cycle, energy balance, and snow and sea ice mass budgets. Here, we examine the number of rainfall days in the Arctic from three reanalysis: ERA-Interim, ERA5 and MERRA-2 over 1980-2016. We show that the number of rainfall days has increased over this period, predominantly in the autumn and in the North Atlantic and Peripheral Seas, and the length of the rain season has increased in all reanalyses. This is positively correlated to the number of days with above freezing air temperatures and a lengthening of the warm season. ERA-Interim produces significantly more rainfall days than other reanalyses and CloudSat observations, as well as significantly more rainfall when temperatures are below freezing. Investigation into the cloud microphysics schemes revealed that the scheme employed by ERA-Interim allowed for mixed-phase clouds to form rain at temperatures below freezing following a temperature-dependent phase partitioning function between 250K and 273K. This simple diagnostic treatment erroneously overestimates rain at temperatures below 273K and produces unrealistic rainfall compared to ERA5 and MERRA-2. This work highlights the importance of having accurate physics and improving microphysical schemes in models for simulating precipitation in the Arctic and the caution that is warranted for interpreting reanalysis trends. |
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Observing the evolution of summer melt on multiyear sea ice with ICESat-2 and Sentinel-2 Buckley, E.M., and 8 others including M.A. Webster, "Observing the evolution of summer melt on multiyear sea ice with ICESat-2 and Sentinel-2," Cryosphere, 17, 3695-3719, doi:10.5194/tc-17-3695-2023, 2023. |
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31 Aug 2023 ![]() |
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We investigate sea ice conditions during the 2020 melt season, when warm air temperature anomalies in spring led to early melt onset, an extended melt season, and the second-lowest September minimum Arctic ice extent observed. We focus on the region of the most persistent ice cover and examine melt pond depth retrieved from Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) using two distinct algorithms in concert with a time series of melt pond fraction and ice concentration derived from Sentinel-2 imagery to obtain insights about the melting ice surface in three dimensions. We find the melt pond fraction derived from Sentinel-2 in the study region increased rapidly in June, with the mean melt pond fraction peaking at 16% ±â€‰6% on 24 June 2020, followed by a slow decrease to 8% ±â€‰6% by 3 July, and remained below 10% for the remainder of the season through 15 September. Sea ice concentration was consistently high (>95%) at the beginning of the melt season until 4 July, and as floes disintegrated, it decreased to a minimum of 70% on 30 July and then became more variable, ranging from 75% to 90% for the remainder of the melt season. Pond depth increased steadily from a median depth of 0.40 m ±â€‰0.17 m in early June and peaked at 0.97 m ±â€‰0.51 m on 16 July, even as melt pond fraction had already started to decrease. Our results demonstrate that by combining high-resolution passive and active remote sensing we now have the ability to track evolving melt conditions and observe changes in the sea ice cover throughout the summer season. |
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Alaska terrestrial and marine climate trends, 19572021 Ballinger, T.J., and 9 others including M.A. Webster, "Alaska terrestrial and marine climate trends, 19572021," J. Clim., 36, 4375-4391, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0434.1, 2023. |
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1 Jul 2023 ![]() |
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Some of the largest climatic changes in the Arctic have been observed in Alaska and surrounding marginal seas. Near-surface air temperature (T2m), precipitation (P), snowfall, and sea ice changes have been previously documented, often in disparate studies. Here we provide an updated, long-term trend analysis (19572021; n=65 years) of such parameters in ERA5, NOAA NClimGrid, NOAA NCEI Alaska climate division, and composite sea ice products preceding the upcoming Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) and other near-future climate reports. In the past half century, annual T2m has broadly increased across Alaska, and during winter, spring, and autumn on the North Slope and North Panhandle (T2m>0.50°C decade-1). P has also increased across climate divisions, and appears strongly interrelated with temperature-sea ice feedbacks on the North Slope, specifically with increased (decreased) open water (sea ice extent). Snowfall equivalent (SFE) has decreased in autumn and spring, perhaps aligned with a regime transition of snow to rain, while winter SFE has broadly increased across the state. Sea ice decline and melt season lengthening also have a pronounced signal around Alaska, with the largest trends in these parameters found in the Beaufort Sea. Alaska’s climatic changes are also placed in context against regional and contiguous U.S. air temperature trends, and show ~50% greater warming in Alaska relative to the lower-48 states. Alaska T2m increases also exceed those of any contiguous U.S. sub-region, positioning Alaska at the forefront of U.S. climate warming. |
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Sea ice melt pond fraction derived from Sentinel-2 data: Along the MOSAiC drift and Arctic-wide Niehaus, H., and 12 others including M. Webster, "Sea ice melt pond fraction derived from Sentinel-2 data: Along the MOSAiC drift and Arctic-wide," Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, doi:10.1029/2022GL102102, 2023. |
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16 Mar 2023 ![]() |
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Melt ponds forming on Arctic sea ice in summer significantly reduce the surface albedo and impact the heat and mass balance of the sea ice. Therefore, their areal coverage, which can undergo rapid change, is crucial to monitor. We present a revised method to extract melt pond fraction (MPF) from Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, which is evaluated by MPF products from higher-resolution satellite and helicopter-borne imagery. The analysis of melt pond evolution during the MOSAiC campaign in summer 2020, shows a split of the Central Observatory (CO) into a level ice and a highly deformed ice part, the latter of which exhibits exceptional early melt pond formation compared to the vicinity. Average CO MPFs are 17% before and 23% after the major drainage. Arctic-wide analysis of MPF for years 20172021 shows a consistent seasonal cycle in all regions and years. |
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Observing Arctic sea ice Webster, M.A., I. Rigor, and N.C. Wright, "Observing Arctic sea ice," Oceanography, 35, 28-37, doi:10.5670/oceanog.2022.115, 2022. |
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1 Dec 2022 ![]() |
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Our understanding of Arctic sea ice and its wide-ranging influence is deeply rooted in observation. Advancing technologies have profoundly improved our ability to observe Arctic sea ice, document its processes and properties, and describe atmosphere-ice-ocean interactions with unprecedented detail. Yet, our progress toward better understanding the Arctic sea ice system is mired by the stark disparities between observations that tend to be siloed by method, scientific discipline, and application. This article presents a review and philosophical design for observing sea ice and accelerating our understanding of the Arctic sea ice system. We give a brief history of Arctic sea ice observations and showcase the 2018 melt season within the context of five observational themes: spatial heterogeneity, temporal variability, cross-disciplinary science, scalability, and retrieval uncertainty. We synthesize buoy data, optical imagery, satellite retrievals, and airborne measurements to demonstrate how disparate data sets can be woven together to transcend issues of observational scale. The results show that there are limitations to interpreting any single data set alone. However, many of these limitations can be surmounted by combining observations that cross spatial and temporal scales. We conclude the article with pathways toward enhanced coordination across observational platforms in order to: (1) optimize the scientific, operational, and community return on observational investments, and (2) facilitate a richer understanding of Arctic sea ice and its role in the climate system. |
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Record Arctic cyclone of January 2022: Characteristics, impacts, and predictability Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., M. Webster, L. Boisvert, C. Parker, and C. Horvat, "Record Arctic cyclone of January 2022: Characteristics, impacts, and predictability," J. Geophys. Res., 127, doi:10.1029/2022JD037161, 2022. |
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16 Nov 2022 ![]() |
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Arctic cyclones are a fundamental component of Arctic climate, influencing atmospheric heat and moisture transport into the region and surface energy, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Arctic cyclones can also drive changes in sea ice and energize ocean waves. Here we investigate a record low sea level pressure (SLP) Arctic cyclone which formed in East Greenland and tracked NE over the Barents and Kara seas between 21 and 27 January 2022. At its peak intensity on 24 January, the cyclone reached an estimated depth of 932.2 mb at 79.5°N 20°E. North of 70°N, this is the lowest SLP in the ERA-5 reanalysis over 1979 to present. The cyclone resulted in a record (over the period 19792022) weekly loss of regional sea ice area and surface wind speeds, and generated ocean waves exceeding 8 m that impinged on sea ice in the Barents sea, observed via satellite altimetry as large waves-in-sea ice up to 2 m in amplitude more than 100 km into the ice pack. Surface heat fluxes were strongly impacted by the cyclone, with record atmosphere-to-surface turbulent fluxes. However, the direct atmospheric thermodynamic impact on sea ice loss was modest, and the record sea ice changes were likely mainly driven by dynamical and/or ocean processes. While the storm was well predicted up to 8 days in advance, subsequent changes in sea ice cover were not, likely due to biases in the forecasts' sea ice initial conditions and missing physics in the forecast model such as wave-sea ice interaction. |
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Arctic sea ice albedo: Spectral composition, spatial heterogeneity, and temporal evolution observed during the MOSAiC drift Light, B., M.M. Smith, D.K. Perovich, M.A. Webster, M.M. Holland, F. Linhardt, I.A. Raphael, D. Clemens-Sewall, A.R. Macfarlane, P. Anhaus, and D.A. Bailey, "Arctic sea ice albedo: Spectral composition, spatial heterogeneity, and temporal evolution observed during the MOSAiC drift," Elem. Sci. Anth., 10, doi:10.1525/elementa.2021.000103, 2022. |
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4 Aug 2022 ![]() |
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The magnitude, spectral composition, and variability of the Arctic sea ice surface albedo are key to understanding and numerically simulating Earth’s shortwave energy budget. Spectral and broadband albedos of Arctic sea ice were spatially and temporally sampled by on-ice observers along individual survey lines throughout the sunlit season (AprilSeptember, 2020) during the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition. The seasonal evolution of albedo for the MOSAiC year was constructed from spatially averaged broadband albedo values for each line. Specific locations were identified as representative of individual ice surface types, including accumulated dry snow, melting snow, bare and melting ice, melting and refreezing ponded ice, and sediment-laden ice. The area-averaged seasonal progression of total albedo recorded during MOSAiC showed remarkable similarity to that recorded 22 years prior on multiyear sea ice during the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) expedition. In accord with these and other previous field efforts, the spectral albedo of relatively thick, snow-free, melting sea ice shows invariance across location, decade, and ice type. In particular, the albedo of snow-free, melting seasonal ice was indistinguishable from that of snow-free, melting second-year ice, suggesting that the highly scattering surface layer that forms on sea ice during the summer is robust and stabilizing. In contrast, the albedo of ponded ice was observed to be highly variable at visible wavelengths. Notable temporal changes in albedo were documented during melt and freeze onset, formation and deepening of melt ponds, and during melt evolution of sediment-laden ice. While model simulations show considerable agreement with the observed seasonal albedo progression, disparities suggest the need to improve how the albedo of both ponded ice and thin, melting ice are simulated. |
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Quantifying false bottoms and under-ice meltwater layers beneath Arctic summer sea ice with fine-scale observations Smith, M.M., L. von Albedyll, I.A. Raphael, B.A. Lange, I. Matero, E. Salganik, M.A. Webster, M.A. Granskog, A. Fong, R. Lei, and B. Light, "Quantifying false bottoms and under-ice meltwater layers beneath Arctic summer sea ice with fine-scale observations," Elem. Sci. Anth., 10, doi:10.1525/elementa.2021.000116, 2022. |
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11 Jul 2022 ![]() |
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During the Arctic melt season, relatively fresh meltwater layers can accumulate under sea ice as a result of snow and ice melt, far from terrestrial freshwater inputs. Such under-ice meltwater layers, sometimes referred to as under-ice melt ponds, have been suggested to play a role in the summer sea ice mass balance both by isolating the sea ice from saltier water below, and by driving formation of 'false bottoms' below the sea ice. Such layers form at the interface of the fresher under-ice layer and the colder, saltier seawater below. During the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of the Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition in the Central Arctic, we observed the presence of under-ice meltwater layers and false bottoms throughout July 2020 at primarily first-year ice locations. Here, we examine the distribution, prevalence, and drivers of under-ice ponds and the resulting false bottoms during this period. The average thickness of observed false bottoms and freshwater equivalent of under-ice meltwater layers was 0.08 m, with false bottom ice comprised of 7487% FYI melt and 1326% snow melt. Additionally, we explore these results using a 1D model to understand the role of dynamic influences on decoupling the ice from the seawater below. The model comparison suggests that the ice-ocean friction velocity was likely exceptionally low, with implications for air-ice-ocean momentum transfer. Overall, the prevalence of false bottoms was similar to or higher than noted during other observational campaigns, indicating that these features may in fact be common in the Arctic during the melt season. These results have implications for the broader ice-ocean system, as under-ice meltwater layers and false bottoms provide a source of ice growth during the melt season, potentially reduce fluxes between the ice and the ocean, isolate sea ice primary producers from pelagic nutrient sources, and may alter light transmission to the ocean below. |
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Toward a more realistic representation of surface albedo in NASA CERES-derived surface radiative fluxes: A comparison with the MOSAiC field campaign Huang, Y.Y., P.C. Taylor, F.G. Rose, D.A. Rutan, M.D. Shute, M.A. Webster, and M.M. Smith, "Toward a more realistic representation of surface albedo in NASA CERES-derived surface radiative fluxes: A comparison with the MOSAiC field campaign," Elem. Sci. Anth., 10, doi:10.1525/elementa.2022.00013, 2022. |
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1 Jun 2022 ![]() |
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Accurate multidecadal radiative flux records are vital to understand Arctic amplification and constrain climate model uncertainties. Uncertainty in the NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES)-derived irradiances is larger over sea ice than any other surface type and comes from several sources. The year-long Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition in the central Arctic provides a rare opportunity to explore uncertainty in CERES-derived radiative fluxes. First, a systematic and statistically robust assessment of surface shortwave and longwave fluxes was conducted using in situ measurements from MOSAiC flux stations. The CERES Synoptic 1degree (SYN1deg) product overestimates the downwelling shortwave flux by +11.40 Wm-2 and underestimates the upwelling shortwave flux by 15.70 Wm-2 and downwelling longwave fluxes by 12.58 Wm-2 at the surface during summer. In addition, large differences are found in the upwelling longwave flux when the surface approaches the melting point (approximately 0°C). The biases in downwelling shortwave and longwave fluxes suggest that the atmosphere represented in CERES is too optically thin. The large negative bias in upwelling shortwave flux can be attributed in large part to lower surface albedo (0.15) in satellite footprint relative to surface sensors. Additionally, the results show that the spectral surface albedo used in SYN1deg overestimates albedo in visible and mid-infrared bands. A series of radiative transfer model perturbation experiments are performed to quantify the factors contributing to the differences. The CERES-MOSAiC broadband albedo differences (approximately 20 Wm-2) explain a larger portion of the upwelling shortwave flux difference than the spectral albedo shape differences (approximately 3 Wm-2). In addition, the differences between perturbation experiments using hourly and monthly MOSAiC surface albedo suggest that approximately 25% of the sea ice surface albedo variability is explained by factors not correlated with daily sea ice concentration variability. Biases in net shortwave and longwave flux can be reduced to less than half by adjusting both albedo and cloud inputs toward observed values. The results indicate that improvements in the surface albedo and cloud data would substantially reduce the uncertainty in the Arctic surface radiation budget derived from CERES data products. |
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Spatiotemporal evolution of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice: MOSAiC observations and model results Webster, M.A., M. Holland, N.C. Wright, S. Hendricks, N. Hutter, P. Itkin, B. Light, F. Lindhardt, D.K. Perovich, I.A. Raphael, M.M. Smith, L. von Albedyll, and J. Zhang, "Spatiotemporal evolution of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice: MOSAiC observations and model results," Elem. Sci. Anth., 10, doi:10.1525/elementa.2021.000072, 2022. |
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11 May 2022 ![]() |
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Melt ponds on sea ice play an important role in the Arctic climate system. Their presence alters the partitioning of solar radiation: decreasing reflection, increasing absorption and transmission to the ice and ocean, and enhancing melt. The spatiotemporal properties of melt ponds thus modify ice albedo feedbacks and the mass balance of Arctic sea ice. The Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition presented a valuable opportunity to investigate the seasonal evolution of melt ponds through a rich array of atmosphere-ice-ocean measurements across spatial and temporal scales. In this study, we characterize the seasonal behavior and variability in the snow, surface scattering layer, and melt ponds from spring melt to autumn freeze-up using in situ surveys and auxiliary observations. We compare the results to satellite retrievals and output from two models: the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) and the Marginal Ice Zone Modeling and Assimilation System (MIZMAS). During the melt season, the maximum pond coverage and depth were 21% and 22 ± 13 cm, respectively, with distribution and depth corresponding to surface roughness and ice thickness. Compared to observations, both models overestimate melt pond coverage in summer, with maximum values of approximately 41% (MIZMAS) and 51% (CESM2). This overestimation has important implications for accurately simulating albedo feedbacks. During the observed freeze-up, weather events, including rain on snow, caused high-frequency variability in snow depth, while pond coverage and depth remained relatively constant until continuous freezing ensued. Both models accurately simulate the abrupt cessation of melt ponds during freeze-up, but the dates of freeze-up differ. MIZMAS accurately simulates the observed date of freeze-up, while CESM2 simulates freeze-up one-to-two weeks earlier. This work demonstrates areas that warrant future observation-model synthesis for improving the representation of sea-ice processes and properties, which can aid accurate simulations of albedo feedbacks in a warming climate. |
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The influence of snow on sea ice as assessed from simulations of CESM2 Holland, M.M., D. Clemens-Sewall, L. Landrum, B. Light, D. Perovich, C. Polashenski, M. Smith, and M. Webster, "The influence of snow on sea ice as assessed from simulations of CESM2," Cryosphere, 15, 4981-4998, doi:10.5194/tc-15-4981-2021, 2021. |
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28 Oct 2021 ![]() |
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We assess the influence of snow on sea ice in experiments using the Community Earth System Model version 2 for a preindustrial and a 2xCO2 climate state. In the preindustrial climate, we find that increasing simulated snow accumulation on sea ice results in thicker sea ice and a cooler climate in both hemispheres. The sea ice mass budget response differs fundamentally between the two hemispheres. In the Arctic, increasing snow results in a decrease in both congelation sea ice growth and surface sea ice melt due to the snow's impact on conductive heat transfer and albedo, respectively. These factors dominate in regions of perennial ice but have a smaller influence in seasonal ice areas. Overall, the mass budget changes lead to a reduced amplitude in the annual cycle of ice thickness. In the Antarctic, with increasing snow, ice growth increases due to snowice formation and is balanced by larger basal ice melt, which primarily occurs in regions of seasonal ice. In a warmer 2xCO2 climate, the Arctic sea ice sensitivity to snow depth is small and reduced relative to that of the preindustrial climate. In contrast, in the Antarctic, the sensitivity to snow on sea ice in the 2xCO2 climate is qualitatively similar to the sensitivity in the preindustrial climate. These results underscore the importance of accurately representing snow accumulation on sea ice in coupled Earth system models due to its impact on a number of competing processes and feedbacks that affect the melt and growth of sea ice. |
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Optical properties of melting first-year Arctic sea ice Light, B., D.K. Perovich, M.A. Webster, C. Polashenski, and R. Dadic, "Optical properties of melting first-year Arctic sea ice," J. Geophys. Res., 120, 7657-7675, doi:10.1002/2015JC011163, 2015. |
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1 Nov 2015 ![]() |
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The albedo and transmittance of melting, first-year Arctic sea ice were measured during two cruises of the Impacts of Climate on the Eco-Systems and Chemistry of the Arctic Pacific Environment (ICESCAPE) project during the summers of 2010 and 2011. Spectral measurements were made for both bare and ponded ice types at a total of 19 ice stations in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. These data, along with irradiance profiles taken within boreholes, laboratory measurements of the optical properties of core samples, ice physical property observations, and radiative transfer model simulations are employed to describe representative optical properties for melting first-year Arctic sea ice. Ponded ice was found to transmit roughly 4.4 times more total energy into the ocean, relative to nearby bare ice. The ubiquitous surface-scattering layer and drained layer present on bare, melting sea ice are responsible for its relatively high albedo and relatively low transmittance. Light transmittance through ponded ice depends on the physical thickness of the ice and the magnitude of the scattering coefficient in the ice interior. Bare ice reflects nearly three-quarters of the incident sunlight, enhancing its resiliency to absorption by solar insolation. In contrast, ponded ice absorbs or transmits to the ocean more than three-quarters of the incident sunlight. Characterization of the heat balance of a summertime ice cover is largely dictated by its pond coverage, and light transmittance through ponded ice shows strong contrast between first-year and multiyear Arctic ice covers. |
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Seasonal evolution of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice Webster, M.A., I.G. Rigor, D.K. Perovich, J.A. Richter-Menge, C.M. Polashenski, and B. Light, "Seasonal evolution of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice," J. Geophys. Res., 120, 5968-5982, doi:10.1002/2015JC011030, 2015. |
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4 Sep 2015 ![]() |
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The seasonal evolution of melt ponds has been well documented on multiyear and landfast first-year sea ice, but is critically lacking on drifting, first-year sea ice, which is becoming increasingly prevalent in the Arctic. Using 1 m resolution panchromatic satellite imagery paired with airborne and in situ data, we evaluated melt pond evolution for an entire melt season on drifting first-year and multiyear sea ice near the 2011 Applied Physics Laboratory Ice Station (APLIS) site in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. A new algorithm was developed to classify the imagery into sea ice, thin ice, melt pond, and open water classes on two contrasting ice types: first-year and multiyear sea ice. Surprisingly, melt ponds formed ~3 weeks earlier on multiyear ice. Both ice types had comparable mean snow depths, but multiyear ice had 05 cm deep snow covering ~37% of its surveyed area, which may have facilitated earlier melt due to its low surface albedo compared to thicker snow. Maximum pond fractions were 53 ± 3% and 38 ± 3% on first-year and multiyear ice, respectively. APLIS pond fractions were compared with those from the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) field campaign. APLIS exhibited earlier melt and double the maximum pond fraction, which was in part due to the greater presence of thin snow and first-year ice at APLIS. These results reveal considerable differences in pond formation between ice types, and underscore the importance of snow depth distributions in the timing and progression of melt pond formation. |
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Interdecadal changes in snow depth on Arctic sea ice Webster, M.A., I.G. Rigor, S.V. Nghiem, N.T. Kurtz, S.L. Farrell, D.K. Perovich, and M. Sturm, "Interdecadal changes in snow depth on Arctic sea ice," J. Geophys. Res., 119, 5395-5406, doi:10.1002/2014JC009985, 2014. |
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13 Aug 2014 ![]() |
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Snow plays a key role in the growth and decay of Arctic sea ice. In winter, it insulates sea ice from cold air temperatures, slowing sea ice growth. From spring into summer, the albedo of snow determines how much insolation is absorbed by the sea ice and underlying ocean, impacting ice melt processes. Knowledge of the contemporary snow depth distribution is essential for estimating sea ice thickness and volume, and for understanding and modeling sea ice thermodynamics in the changing Arctic. This study assesses spring snow depth distribution on Arctic sea ice using airborne radar observations from Operation IceBridge for 20092013. Data were validated using coordinated in situ measurements taken in March 2012 during the BRomine, Ozone, and Mercury EXperiment (BROMEX) field campaign. We find a correlation of 0.59 and root-mean-square error of 5.8 cm between the airborne and in situ data. Using this relationship and IceBridge snow thickness products, we compared the recent results with data from the 1937, 19541991 Soviet drifting ice stations. The comparison shows thinning of the snow pack, from 35.1 ± 9.4 cm to 22.2 ± 1.9 cm in the western Arctic, and from 32.8 ±D 9.4 cm to 14.5 ± 1.9 cm in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. These changes suggest a snow depth decline of 37 ± 29% in the western Arctic and 56 ± 33% in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. Thinning is negatively correlated with the delayed onset of sea ice freeze-up during autumn. |
In The News
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Winter sea ice in the Arctic just hit a record low The Washington Post Just 5.53 million square miles of ice formed over the winter freeze, marking the lowest extent since satellite record keeping began in the 1970s. |
28 Mar 2025
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Paws of polar bears sustaining ice-related injuries in a warming Arctic UW News, Hannah Hickey While surveying the health of two polar bear populations, researchers found lacerations, hair loss, ice buildup and skin ulcerations primarily affecting the feet of adult bears as well as other parts of the body. |
22 Oct 2024
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Arctic melt ponds influence sea ice extent each summer but how much? Mongabay, Michael C. Bradbury July marks the midpoint of the summer sea ice melt season, during which ice declines rapidly under the almost constant Arctic sun, and melt ponds form on ice floes. Scientists study melt ponds to better understand sea ice dynamics and to help forecast the annual sea ice minimum in September. |
20 Aug 2024
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UW researchers attend sea ice conference above the Arctic Circle UW News and Information, Hannah Hickey University of Washington polar scientists are on Alaska’s North Slope this week for the 2016 Barrow Sea Ice Camp. Supported by the National Science Foundation, the event brings together U.S.-based sea ice observers, satellite experts and modelers at various career stages to collect data and discuss issues related to measuring and modeling sea ice. The goal is to integrate the research community in order to better observe and understand the changes in Arctic sea ice. |
1 Jun 2016
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Snow has thinned on Arctic sea ice UW News and Information, Hannah Hickey From research stations drifting on ice floes to high-tech aircraft radar, scientists have been tracking the depth of snow that accumulates on Arctic sea ice for almost a century. Now that people are more concerned than ever about what is happening at the poles, research led by the University of Washington and NASA confirms that snow has thinned significantly in the Arctic, particularly on sea ice in western waters near Alaska. |
13 Aug 2014
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